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Hold That Waiver Wire – Week 2 Busts, Week 3 Picks

Published on September 18, 2012, by in NFL.

Hands up if you put a claim in for the Cowboys’ Kevin Ogletree or the Jets’ Stephen Hill?

The two gained fantasy attention overnight with 8rec/114yd/2TD and 5rec/89yds/2TD performances in Week 1.

Here’s how they did in Week 2:
Kevin Ogletree (WR): One catch for 26 yards, one target.
Stephen Hill (WR): No catches, two targets.

It was too much to ask for a repeat performance, but to put up a complete egg in Hill’s case is a situation even the most pessimistic pundit couldn’t have fathomed. Yes, Mark Sanchez is merely serviceable at best, but I was at the Cowboys game in Seattle and Ogletree was completely invisible. This was partially due to the Seahawks stout D, but also to Jason Witten getting more involved (and dropping balls). Stash Hill on your bench for now as the Jets visit Miami, but Ogletree is worth a flex or WR2 play against Tampa Bay.

So what can we learn from this? Be cautious on your waiver pickups, as it isn’t worth burning a #1 or #2 priority on a player who is 4th in the progressions as in Ogletree’s case, or has an unreliable QB (Hill). It would be a wiser choice to save your priority for possible injuries to starting RB’s or to use them on players like Alfred Morris if he was still available in your league. Of course, all of this is easy to say in hindsight.

Who to pickup this week?

If they’re still available, Martellus Bennett and Dennis Pitta look like locks for 70rec/900yd seasons. Bennett has the higher upside of the two due to sheer ability. He already looks better than Kevin Boss and Jake Ballard, and he is only getting started. I’ll ignore his horrible drop against Tampa as the whole Giants team seems to have a case of the dropsies.

Then there is the emergence of PPR favorites Danny Amendola, Donnie Avery and Brian Hartline, in that order. All three players are built very similarly, but I favor the D.A.’s, as Bradford and Luck are settling in and improving every game. Tannehill improved dramatically as well, but he is the shakiest of the three and I’ll always take the player who has the better QB.

Some sneaky waiver wire pickups for Week 3 include kicker Justin Tucker (BAL), giant among men Scott Chandler (BUF) and Dexter McCluster (KC). McCluster is classified as a WR/RB so he makes for a good bye week filler with upside in PPR leagues, especially if the Chiefs can sort out their struggles.

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