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NFL Draft Value Chart

Originally created by Jimmy Johnson during his time with the Dallas Cowboys, the Draft Trade Value Chart is often used by GM’s as a quick reference during tense moments of the draft when time is at a minimum.

The Draft Value Chart (DVC) gained prominence in the 90’s after the Cowboys overhauled their roster through the draft, winning three Super Bowls that decade with a modest payroll.

The actual usefulness of the chart for pre-draft trades has been debated for years afterwards, and in 2011 Harvard economics student Kevin Meers sought to improve the chart, explaining how the point values from the original basically were created arbitrarily and not based on any analysis or statistics.

Both charts are presented below, as well as a link to download the XLSX spreadsheets at the bottom.

Original NFL Draft Value Chart

Round 1 Round 2 Round 3 Round 4 Round 5 Round 6 Round 7
1
3,000
33
580
65
265
97
112
129
43
161
27
193
14.2
2
2,600
34
560
66
260
98
108
130
42
162
26.6
194
13.8
3
2,200
35
550
67
255
99
104
131
41
163
26.2
195
13.4
4
1,800
36
540
68
250
100
100
132
40
164
25.8
196
13
5
1,700
37
530
69
245
101
96
133
39.5
165
25.4
197
12.6
6
1,600
38
520
70
240
102
92
134
39
166
25
198
12.2
7
1,500
39
510
71
235
103
88
135
38.5
167
24.6
199
11.8
8
1,400
40
500
72
230
104
86
136
38
168
24.2
200
11.4
9
1,350
41
490
73
225
105
84
137
37.5
169
23.8
201
11
10
1,300
42
480
74
220
106
82
138
37
170
23.4
202
10.6
11
1,250
43
470
75
215
107
80
139
36.5
171
23
203
10.2
12
1,200
44
460
76
210
108
78
140
36
172
22.6
204
9.8
13
1,150
45
450
77
205
109
76
141
35.5
173
22.2
205
9.4
14
1,100
46
440
78
200
110
74
142
35
174
21.8
206
9
15
1,050
47
430
79
195
111
72
143
34.5
175
21.4
207
8.6
16
1,000
48
420
80
190
112
70
144
34
176
21
208
8.2
17
950
49
410
81
185
113
68
145
33.5
177
20.6
209
7.8
18
900
50
400
82
180
114
66
146
33
178
20.2
210
7.4
19
875
51
390
83
175
115
64
147
32.6
179
19.8
211
7
20
850
52
380
84
170
116
62
148
32.2
180
19.4
212
6.6
21
800
53
370
85
165
117
60
149
31.8
181
19
213
6.2
22
780
54
360
86
160
118
58
150
31.4
182
18.6
214
5.8
23
760
55
350
87
155
119
56
151
31
183
18.2
215
5.4
24
740
56
340
88
150
120
54
152
30.6
184
17.8
216
5
25
720
57
330
89
145
121
52
153
30.2
185
17.4
217
4.6
26
700
58
320
90
140
122
50
154
29.8
186
17
218
4.2
27
680
59
310
91
136
123
49
155
29.4
187
16.6
219
3.8
28
660
60
300
92
132
124
48
156
29
188
16.2
220
3.4
29
640
61
292
93
128
125
47
157
28.6
189
15.8
221
3
30
620
62
284
94
124
126
46
158
28.2
190
15.4
222
2.6
31
600
63
276
95
120
127
45
159
27.8
191
15
223
2.3
32
590
64
270
96
116
128
44
160
27.4
192
14.6
224
2

Meers’ Harvard Draft Value Chart

In his much referenced article on the official Harvard College Sports Analysis Collective blog, Kevin Meers created a new chart based on data from 1980 to 2005. Meers’ regression analysis is based on Pro Football Reference’s Career Approximate Value (CAV) metric.

Kenneth Arthur of SBNation shares his opinion on both charts, making the argument that they’re “not predictive of anything” and “You don’t trade picks for picks, you trade picks for players or players for other players”, citing the Robert Griffin III trade as an example.

Meers’ “Harvard Chart”:

Round 1 Round 2 Round 3 Round 4 Round 5 Round 6 Round 7
1 494.6 33 175.2 65 128.0 97 97.8 129 75.6 161 58.0 193 43.5
2 435.7 34 173.3 66 126.9 98 97.1 130 75.0 162 57.5 194 43.1
3 401.3 35 171.4 67 125.8 99 96.3 131 74.4 163 57.1 195 42.6
4 376.9 36 169.5 68 124.7 100 95.5 132 73.8 164 56.6 196 42.2
5 357.9 37 167.7 69 123.6 101 94.7 133 73.2 165 56.1 197 41.8
6 342.4 38 165.9 70 122.5 102 94.0 134 72.6 166 55.6 198 41.4
7 329.4 39 164.1 71 121.5 103 93.2 135 72.0 167 55.1 199 41.0
8 318.0 40 162.4 72 120.4 104 92.5 136 71.5 168 54.6 200 40.6
9 308.0 41 160.8 73 119.4 105 91.7 137 70.9 169 54.2 201 40.2
10 299.1 42 159.1 74 118.4 106 91.0 138 70.3 170 53.7 202 39.8
11 291.0 43 157.5 75 117.4 107 90.3 139 69.7 171 53.2 203 39.4
12 283.6 44 155.9 76 116.4 108 89.5 140 69.2 172 52.7 204 39.0
13 276.8 45 154.3 77 115.4 109 88.8 141 68.6 173 52.3 205 38.6
14 270.5 46 152.8 78 114.4 110 88.1 142 68.0 174 51.8 206 38.2
15 264.7 47 151.3 79 113.5 111 87.4 143 67.5 175 51.4 207 37.8
16 259.2 48 149.8 80 112.5 112 86.7 144 66.9 176 50.9 208 37.4
17 254.0 49 148.4 81 111.6 113 86.0 145 66.4 177 50.4 209 37.0
18 249.2 50 147.0 82 110.7 114 85.3 146 65.8 178 50.0 210 36.6
19 244.6 51 145.6 83 109.7 115 84.6 147 65.3 179 49.5 211 36.3
20 240.2 52 144.2 84 108.8 116 84.0 148 64.8 180 49.1 212 35.9
21 236.1 53 142.8 85 107.9 117 83.3 149 64.2 181 48.6 213 35.5
22 232.1 54 141.5 86 107.1 118 82.6 150 63.7 182 48.2 214 35.1
23 228.4 55 140.2 87 106.2 119 82.0 151 63.2 183 47.8 215 43.5
24 224.7 56 138.9 88 105.3 120 81.3 152 62.6 184 47.3 216 43.1
25 221.3 57 137.6 89 104.4 121 80.7 153 62.1 185 46.9 217 42.6
26 218.0 58 136.3 90 103.6 122 80.0 154 61.6 186 46.5 218 42.2
27 214.7 59 135.1 91 102.7 123 79.4 155 61.1 187 46.0 219 41.8
28 211.7 60 133.9 92 101.9 124 78.7 156 60.6 188 45.6 220 41.4
29 208.7 61 132.7 93 101.1 125 78.1 157 60.0 189 45.2 221 41.0
30 205.8 62 131.4 94 100.3 126 77.5 158 59.5 190 44.7 222 40.6
31 203.0 63 130.3 95 99.4 127 76.9 159 59.0 191 44.3 223 40.2
32 200.3 64 129.1 96 98.6 128 76.2 160 58.5 192 43.9 224 39.8

Want to do your own analysis? We’ve uploaded the Excel spreadsheets to Scribd for free (or simply copy and paste the above tables).

Source: Meers, Kevin. (November 30, 2011). How to Value NFL Draft Picks.

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